Beith Juniors FC: My Site News: Tommy the Pundit - 14/03/08

Friday, March 14
Tommy the Pundit - 14/03/08

Tommy The Pundit 

Here is an update at how the Championship/Promotion spots are looking up and down the leagues. 

Premier Division Champions – Meadow sit top of the league with 33 pts from 18 games and are clinging on to their title hopes but while they sit at the top of the league it would be foolish to rule them out. The league race in general has opened up due to the teams at the bottom of the league not staying dead and fighting back strongly and taking points off all teams in the league. Pollok and Glenafton look to be favourites if they can win their games in hand with 22 pts and 21 pts from 12 games respectively, but they would go 4 and 3 points respectively ahead of Meadow IF they win their games in hand. Talbot have 14 points from 9 games, although their alleged pitch problems may stop a title surge, they still have the quality there to do it. 

Tommy’s Tip - Pollok 

Premier Division Relegation – Shotts mini revival continues with a win over bottom dogs Kilsyth, but whether it continues or not is another matter. Shotts may improve enough to the play off spot and drag on the play off contenders down but the odds are against them. Kilsyth, I think are safe to say all but down now with 7 points from 19 games. Scottish Cup Quarter Final opponents Talbot and Cumnock maybe down there but I can’t see either being in the bottom two at the end of the season. Shotts – Remaining games: Home- Arthurlie, Glenafton, Meadow and Pollok. Away- Auchinleck. Max – 34, Min 19.Kilsyth – Max – 25, Min 7. 

Tommy’s Tips – Kilsyth and Shotts 

Premier Division Play Off Well my 23 point target was clearly now wishful thinking and the history book of the last few years has proved to be as useful a guideline as…… In no small turn due to the quality of the opposition remaining at the bottom and their turnarounds due to new management, it looks like 28/30 or so (I’m not committing now!!) will now be the guideline. Of course there is no hard and fast rule unfortunately and as I back track at a fast pace, in my defence could anybody have predicted the impressive return of Bellshill or the number of points dropped by Meadow? Who can get dragged in now? Well just about everybody now it is so cut throat. From looking at the table, here are the likely ones. All games are key now. 

Beith – I’ll mention us first to get it out of the road. Saturday’s result has definitely given us a boost but we still have some work to do! Remaining games we need the points from – Home v Bellshill, Cumnock (home & away). Max – 36, Min -27. 

Arthurlie – If Arthurlie win their 2 games on hand against us, they’ll be equal with us which shows what a disappointment that result was.  Their games in hand are at home to Auchinleck and Pollok so that is by no means easy. Other remaning games –  Home v Bellshill, Cumnock, Away – Shotts. Points diff to Beith -6, games in hand 2. Max – 36, Min – 21.  

Bellshill – Tam McDonald has made a huge difference to them, their double win over Meadow and away win over Pollok upsetting all the odds, they are now a lot harder to beat. They now sit 1 points ahead of us which is a remarkable turn to form. Game in hand is this Saturday away to Arthurlie. Remaining games – Home v Talbot, Cumnock and Away v Arthurlie, Beith.  Points diff to Beith -2, games in hand 1. Max – 37, Min - 25 

Neilston – The Farmers Boys improved their situation as ours got worse with an away win over Cumnock. However none of their games are against other play off contenders. Games in hand are against Kilsyth at home and Pollok away. Other games are Pollok (H&A),Talbot & Petershill (H) and Glenafton (A), they have arguably the hardest run in). Points diff to Beith  -3, games in hand 2. Max – 39, Min – 24. 

Cumnock – with 16 points from 12 games, they could arguably be in the title race and the relegation/play off battle. But with so many games to get the required points, it is far to early to say and will depend a lot on the scheduling of the matches. Max - 46, Min - 16. 

Tommy’s Tip – Any team can pull clear still, but it may well come down to who loses in the Arthurlie v Bellshill game. 

1st Division Champions – Rob Roy have just less than half of their campaign still to play (12 games) but are in pole position for the title on 32 points and can only throw it away now, but it has happened before in this division.  Tommy’s Tip – Rob Roy

 1st Division 2nd Place – 2nd place is tighter than it was before due to dropped points by Vale of Clyde, with Kilbirnie, Kilwinning, EK, Clydebank and Largs all still in the hunt 

Tommy’s Tip – Vale of Clyde- due to points on the board, but if anybody will catch them it is Kilbirnie. 

1st Division Play Off – Looking at the names mentioned above. Tommy’s Tip - Kilbirnie 

1st Division Relegation – Burgh still look to be dead and gone with only 3 points after 11 games. Next up looking likely is Troon in 3rd bottom place with 11 points after 15 games. 2nd bottom Maryhill with 10 points after 13 had a brief resurgence but no points in the last 3 has stopped this. 4th bottom is Annbank have been dragged into the dogfight but have proved capable of pulling clear before and this experience may prove vital. Renfrew have been getting some games and points under their belt and are firmly back into the fight for safety and for me it is between them and Annbank for the drop. 

Tommy’s tips –Burgh, Troon, Maryhill (Renfrew or Annbank) 

Ayrshire District League – This looks like a battle between Whitletts (32 from 14 -who came so close last year),Girvan (30 from 12),Craigmark (25 from 13) ,Hurlford (26 from 12) and Dalry (26 from 14).

Tommy’s Tip for 1st place – Girvan, 2nd place – Whitletts or Hurlford 

Central District League Div 1 –Lanark top the division with 28 points from 12 games. Port Glasgow have 24 points from 12 and Cumbernauld have 24 points from 13.  The dark horses would be Ashfield, who look to be the only other real challengers right now with 21 points after 12 games.

 Tommy’s Tip for 1st place – Lanark, 2nd place – Port Glasgow 

Central District League Div 2 – Forth top the division with 24 points from 13 games closely followed by Cambuslang with 23 points from 13, Vale of Leven with 22 from 13 and Cambuslang with 23 from 13. Tommy’s Tip for 1st place – Cambuslang, 2nd place – Vale of Leven or Carluke.

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