Beith Juniors FC: My Site News: Tommy the Pundit Update - 28/02/08

Thursday, February 28
Tommy the Pundit Update - 28/02/08

Tommy The Pundit 

Here is an update at how the Championship/Promotion spots are looking up and down the leagues. 

Premier Division Champions – Well Meadow still sit top of the league with 33 pts from 17 games and will be hoping the old adage of points in the bag counting more stays true. The league race in general has opened up due to the teams at the bottom of the league not staying dead and fighting back strongly and taking points off all teams in the league. Pollok now look to be the favourites sitting in 4th place with 22 pts from 11 games but are not getting their league games played, but they would go 7 points ahead of Meadow IF they win their games in hand. Glenafton may also have a say with 20 points from 11  games and it is worth noting they have only lost 1 league game and are dark horses and Talbot have 14 points from 9 games, although their alleged pitch problems may stop a title surge they still have the quality there to do it. 

Tommy’s Tip - Pollok 

Premier Division Relegation Our recent defeat to Shotts has given them a glimmer of hope, but whether it proves to be anything more than that will be found out in their next few games with a must 3 points required against Kilsyth. Kilsyth, I think are safe to say all but down now with 7 points from 15 games. Scottish Cup Quarter Final opponents maybe down there but I can’t see either being in the bottom two at the end of the season.

Tommy’s Tips – Kilsyth and Shotts 

Premier Division Play Off Well I guess I need to revise my 23 point target as it looks due to the quality of the opposition remaining at the bottom and their turnarounds due to new management, it looks like 28 or so will now be the guideline. Of course there is no hard and fast rule unfortunately and as I back track at a fast pace, in my defence could anybody have predicted the impressive return of Bellshill or the number of points dropped by Meadow? Who can get dragged in now? Well just about everybody now it is so cut throat. From looking at the table, here are the likely ones. All games are key but the ones mentioned are potential 6 pointers against other contenders. 

Beith – I’ll mention us first to get it out of the road, I don’t we’ll be there but we’re not out of safety yet. Key games we need the majority of points from – Away v Arthurlie and Home v Bellshill. Other games are Cumnock (home & away),  Meadow (away). 

Arthurlie – If Arthurlie win their 2 games on hand against us, they’ll be 1 point behind us which shows how crucial this Saturday’s game is as that will either extend our gap or mean we could be behind.  Their games in hand are at home to Auchinleck and Pollok so that is by no means easy. Key games – Home v Beith, Home v Bellshill. Points diff to Beith -7, games in hand 2. 

Bellshill – Tam McDonald has made a huge difference to them, their double win over Meadow aside they are now a lot harder to beat. They now sit 2 points behind us which is a remarkable turn to form. Key games – Away v Arthurlie, Away v Beith (their other games are Talbot, Cumnock (at home)& Pollok(away)) Points diff to Beith -2, games in hand 0. 

Neilston – The Farmers Boys find themselves in pretty much the same situation as ourselves. However none of their games are against other play off contenders. Game in hand is against Kilsyth at home. Other games are Pollok (H&A),Talbot & Petershill (H), Cumnock and Glenafton (A), they have arguably the hardest run in). Points diff to Beith – 3, games in hand 1. 

Cumnock – with 16 points from 11 games, they could arguably be in the title race and the relegation/play off battle. But with so many games to get the required points, it is far to early to say and will depend a lot on the scheduling of the matches. 

Tommy’s Tip – Too close to call. 

1st Division Champions – Rob Roy have half of their campaign still to play (13 games) but are in pole position for the title as they are on the same points as Vale of Clyde but better goal difference and a 2 point lead on Largs but 3 games in hand on both of them. Theirs to throw away, but it has happened before in this division.  

Tommy’s Tip – Rob Roy 

1st Division 2nd Place – 2nd place is tighter than it was before due to dropped points by Vale of Clyde, with Kilbirnie, Kilwinning, EK, Clydebank and Largs all still in the hunt 

Tommy’s Tip – Vale of Clyde- due to points on the board, but it anybody will catch them it is Kilbirnie. 

1st Division Play Off – Looking at the names mentioned above. 

Tommy’s Tip - Kilbirnie 

1st Division Relegation – Burgh still look to be dead and gone with only 3 points after 11 games. Next up looking likely is Troon in 3rd bottom place with 11 points after 14 games. 2nd bottom Maryhill with 10 points after 13 had a brief resurgence but no points in the last 3 has stopped this. 4th bottom is Annbank have been dragged into the dogfight but have proved capable of pulling clear before and this experience may prove vital. Renfrew have been getting some games and points under their belt and are firmly back into the fight for safety and for me it is between them and Annbank for the drop. 

Tommy’s tips –Burgh, Troon, Maryhill (Renfrew or Annbank) 

Ayrshire District League – This looks like a battle between Whitletts (29 from 12 -who came so close last year),Girvan (30 from 12),Craigmark (25 from 13) ,Hurlford (23 from 11) and Dalry (26 from 13).

Tommy’s Tip for 1st place – Girvan, 2nd place – Whitletts or Hurlford 

Central District League Div 1 –Lanark top the division with 28 points from 12 games. Port Glasgow have 24 points from 12 and Cumbernauld have 24 points from 13.  The dark horses would be Ashfield, who look to be the only other real challengers right now with 21 points after 12 games.

Tommy’s Tip for 1st place – Lanark, 2nd place – Port Glasgow 

Central District League Div 2 – Forth top the division with 24 points from 13 games closely followed by Cambuslang with 23 points from 13, Vale of Leven with 22 from 13 and Cambuslang with 23 from 13.

Tommy’s Tip for 1st place – Cambuslang, 2nd place – Vale of Leven or Carluke.

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