Bullard FC U-16Girls Soccer: Welcome
Welcome to the Bullard FC Blue U-16 Girls Soccer Website, a competitive Class One team from the central San Joaquin Valley. For the 2009-2010 season, anticipate pleasant surprises. More to come....
Updated practice, league and tournament dates through October 14th:
Highlighted items indicate update from original handout/email attachment.
U16 Girls Practice Schedule
Day/Date: Time: Location:
Monday 9/14/09 5:30 – 8:00 Bullard Fields
Wednesday 9/16/09 5:30 – 8:00 Bullard Fields
Saturday 9/19/09 12:00 vs. Visalia @ Visalia
Monday 9/21/09 5:30 – 8:00 Igal's Classroom/Bullard Fields
Wednesday 9/23/09 5:30 – 8:00 Bullard Fields
Saturday/Sunday 9/26 & 27 TBA Academy Cup Clovis Buchanan
Wednesday 9/30/09 5:30 – 8:00 Bullard Fields
Sunday 10/04/09 10:00 Odyssey Red U16 Buchanan
Monday 10/05/09 5:30 – 8:00 Bullard Fields
Wednesday 10/07/09 5:30 – 8:00 Bullard Fields
Saturday 10/10/09 12:00 vs. Odyssey U15 Red
Sunday 10/11/09 8:00 vs. East Fresno The Dump
Monday 10/12/09 5:30 – 8:00 Bullard Fields
Wednesday 10/14/09 5:30 – 8:00 Bullard Fields
Friday, October 23
|Harold and dog Striker One-on-One|
The Harold S. Young Playing League standings and updates may be found on the District VII Website:
Dateline: "That town north of Fresno", 3:33 p.m.
After years of grumblings, reports and secret investigations in "that certain portion of the" central San Joaquin Valley, scientists are prepared to announce that the Santa Cruz Mountains hold no monopoly on phenomena which seemingly defy the laws of physics.
Investigation spokesman Harold S. Young and his faithful assistant Striker have scheduled a 9:00 p.m. press conference to unveil the Madera Mystery Spot. Scientists postulate that at the Spot both matter and perception warp simultaneously, leading referees to mistakenly conclude that local players are not off-sides but visiting players almost always are.
Welcome to tournament headquarters. Here you'll get all the current information on our upcoming events.
Schedules for the Clovis Academy Cup are out. The Round Robin schedule is as follows:
As for Placer, we were not accepted. The Clovis Challenge Cup appeared the only viable option for an October tournament. However, we have applied to the only CYSA North-sponsored Class I tournament that weekend: Hanford's Central California Halloween Cup. I will let you all know more about it if and when anything is posted on Hanford's web site.
Friday, September 18
I did a search to become more familiar with our added formation. I thought if parents (or players) would like some idea of what to look for, I might as well post my filtered search results.
Might be worth watching Chelsea in the EPL, who are playing the formation about half the time now.
For your convenience, I have posted the final results for the NHB Cup, 2009 edition. Outsiders looking at our results might well be surprised at our showing. Stat geeks (some have slanderously suggested Mr. WebCentral is a charter member) would be looking for misprints, because...
From a purely statistical standpoint, Bullard entered the tournament as the clear and prohibitive underdog. Our Mathman Soccer ranking (based on an algorithym for comparative results and strength of opponents) was 885 (ranking us 12th out of 12 teams entered). The 11th ranked team, Arsenal FC White, had 1082 points. Top seeded PVSA Exiles had 1412 points, ranked the 15th best team in Southern California.
GOTSOCCER, which ranks teams based on success in tournaments and "quality league results"in the previous 12 months, awarded us 363 points for our efforts (12th out of 12 entrants). Next lowest (11th ranked) was Fullerton Rangers with 1023 points. Top seeded PVSA Exiles have 3349 GOTSOCCER points, ranking 13th best in Southern California.
But wait, it gets better. This year's second flight, which we won last year, had eight teams. Highest ranked by Mathman, United FC with 1250 points. Highest ranked by GOTSOCCER PVSA Exiles Red with 2041 points. Our Mathman score was below the 8th and last ranked team (988 for Wolfpack White) of the second flight. Our GOTSOCCER points split the difference -- we were better than only half of the second flight teams.
Frankly, since GOTSOCCER changed its format a year ago, and began offering many more points for certain types of events (including, for instance, events that employ the GOTSOCCER Scheduler), its value as a predictive tool has diminished significantly.
But the Mathman, he ain't half bad, because if you beat a better team by 1 goal, your score goes up some and the other teams drops that same amount. If you win by 2 goals, you get more from the better team and they lose more (up to a 6-0 goal differential). If you beat a lesser team, you don't take as many of their points because you were supposed to win. But you get a little, they lose a little, etc.
In sum, the way to a better Mathman score is to beat teams in recognized tournaments that have more points than you. The better your goal differential in your win, the more points you capture. Plus, don't lose to lesser teams, or you'll give back some of what you gained. The formula translates into strong statistical probabilities. The Mathman explains:
Teams whose ratings differ by about 75 points or fewer should be considered essentially equal in strength. If you play a team rated 400 points higher than you, they would be expected to win about 90% of the time. But you would be expected to win 10% of the time, and this does, in fact, happen. So you still have to play the game.
Generally, the odds are like this. If the ratings difference is as given below, the higher-rated team should be expected to win the given % of the time:
- 100 66%
- 200 75%
- 400 90%
- 500 95%
- 800 99%
For a look at the site, go to: http://www.girlssoccerrate.com/
Applying the probabilities to our NHB schedule, the ratings difference by game was:
Bullard 885 v.
Laguna Hills Eclipse 1218 (333 differential)
PVSA Exiles Black 1412 (527...)
Westside Breakers White 1304 (419...)
Beach FC 1408 (523...)
All of which leads to what I have wanted to say for a long, long time: THE STATS DON"T MEAN SQUAT WHEN YOU HAVE A TEAM THAT PLAYS WITH FOCUS, INTELLIGENCE AND ENERGY.
This weekend, when the girls played that way, they succeeded against the type of teams which used to dominate us. Teams which statistically are expected to win over 80% of the time (Eclipse) and 95% of the time (Beach). Even against PVSA we were hardly outclassed.
The girl's showing against the strongest competition we have ever faced in a tournament indicates much progress. Last year's Second Flight Championship was an important confidence booster after a very tough summer. But WebCentral feels what we did this year, against superior talent, is truely satisfying.
Congratulations girls. Now you know you can do it...and how. Statistics be d@m*#d.
Girls Under 16 Flight 1
Click team name for individual team schedules
|101824||SA AUG 29||
|BULLARD FC BLUE (CN) - 2||ECLIPSE WHITE - 0||UCI 4|
|101825||SA AUG 29||
|UNITED FC BLACK - 0||CANYON PSA - 1||UCI 5|
|101826||SA AUG 29||
|WESTSIDE BREAKERS WHITE - 2||CISCO BLACK (AZ) - 2||UCI 4|
|101827||SA AUG 29||
|RANGERS WHITE - 2||ARSENAL FC WHITE - 0||UCI 5|
|101828||SA AUG 29||
|ECLIPSE WHITE - 1||PVSC EXILES BLACK - 1||UCI 4|
|101829||SA AUG 29||
|CANYON PSA - 1||CVU BLUE PRIDE - 3||UCI 5|
|101830||SA AUG 29||
|CISCO BLACK (AZ) - 1||PALMDALE THUNDER - 4||UCI 4|
|101831||SA AUG 29||
|ARSENAL FC WHITE - 1||BEACH FC - 3||UCI 5|
|101832||SA AUG 29||
|PVSC EXILES BLACK - 2||BULLARD FC BLUE (CN) - 0||UCI 4|
|101833||SA AUG 29||
|CVU BLUE PRIDE - 0||UNITED FC BLACK - 3||UCI 5|
|101834||SA AUG 29||
|PALMDALE THUNDER - 1||WESTSIDE BREAKERS WHITE - 0||UCI 4|
|101835||SA AUG 29||
|BEACH FC - 0||RANGERS WHITE - 3||UCI 5|
• • CONSOLATION • •
|101836||SU AUG 30||
|CANYON PSA - 0||ARSENAL FC WHITE - 1||UCI 4|
|101837||SU AUG 30||
|ECLIPSE WHITE - 2||CISCO BLACK (AZ) - 0||UCI 5|
|101838||SU AUG 30||
|CVU BLUE PRIDE - 3||BEACH FC - 0||UCI 4|
|101839||SU AUG 30||
|BULLARD FC BLUE (CN) - 0||WESTSIDE BREAKERS WHITE - 3||UCI 5|
|101842||SU AUG 30||
|ARSENAL FC WHITE - 1||ECLIPSE WHITE - 1||UCI 4|
|101843||SU AUG 30||
|CANYON PSA - 3||CISCO BLACK (AZ) - 1||UCI 5|
|101844||SU AUG 30||
|CVU BLUE PRIDE - 3||WESTSIDE BREAKERS WHITE - 2||UCI 4|
|101845||SU AUG 30||
|BEACH FC - 0||BULLARD FC BLUE (CN) - 1||UCI 5|
|101847||SU AUG 30||
|PALMDALE THUNDER - 2||UNITED FC BLACK - 1||UCI 5|
• • SEMI FINALS • •
|101840||SU AUG 30||
|UNITED FC BLACK - 0||RANGERS WHITE - 1||UCI 4|
|101841||SU AUG 30||
|PVSC EXILES BLACK - 1||PALMDALE THUNDER - 0||UCI 5|
• • CHAMPIONSHIP • •
|101846||SU AUG 30||
|PVSC EXILES BLACK - 2||RANGERS WHITE - 3||UCI 4|
There are three distinct chapters to this adventure: the games, the beach, and the accommodations.
GAMES: The girls showed much improvement following Turlock. (FYI, don’t bet the house on WebCentral revisiting that Mid-Summer Classic. I remember this stuff: warmup tournament, huge gash above eye, inside and outside stitches after-hours. That was Day One. If anyone would like to submit a Turlock tournament report, I will happily post it. If you want more, send me a check for my deductible.) Satuday’s games: 2-0 v. San Ramon Fusion and 3-0 v. Coastal Valley Ultimate. We were well positioned: a win or tie against Claremont Stars Red and we makethe finals.
We played a hard-fought first half. No score. In the second half, Claremont stepped up their already rough physical play. We responded. No doubt we might have liked the game called a little tighter, but, no excuses. Claremont found a way to score. We had time to equalize but did not. One that got away. Learn. Grow. Move on.
BEACH: WebCentral sends out kudos to Igal for the Saturday evening beach potluck. I know I was not alone in thinking that the cold windy weather we had fought through all day would mean miserable conditions at Avila. Glad I was wrong. As it often is, Avila was a little pocket of heaven. Warmish, light breezes, delightful. AND, thanks for getting our girls together with the boy’s team!!
ACCOMODATIONS: WebCentral will not discuss my own greek tragedy courtesy of Rodeway Inn. Rather, I have compiled some of the highlights of stories and observations from other parents. Some involve the hotel directly. Others concern the surrounding environment.
The Hokey Pokey
You put your Rodeway Inn, You put your Rodeway out
It smells like hotel sin? Better scrub the tile and grout.
You fear the junkie-cokeys, Then you wonder, what’s that sound?
Safety is sorely in doubt.
Down on the Corner
Down on the corner, Payphone office suite
Friday evenin’ business boomin’
Get your nickel bag real cheap
All Along the Watchtower
There must be some way outta here, Said the father to the mom
Too must infestation, We'll die without a flea bomb
Businessman he takes your card, Touts pan-o-ramic view
Just don’t presume your towels, Will find your room before you…..
The good news is that the shopping cart bums didn’t steal from or harass any of our people. The dealers and buyers, while hardly discreet, did not venture far from the street corner down the block. And special thanks to Jorge (Genevie’s dad). Mindful of the previously mentioned activities surrounding the hotel, he stood watch on the second floor Saturday night overseeing the hotel parking lot where many of our daughters were socializing in one of the parked vehicles.
WebCentral learned a valuable lesson. And, I know we had to scramble to find rooms at the last minute. And I know you don’t bite the hand that assists. And I know its a shameless cheap shot.... Still:
Be wary, grasshopper, of staying at hotel when person who books block of rooms stays in Morro Bay beach house up the road
runnin... by T. Petty